Road To Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Кыргызстанloss 0:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Иранwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Кыргызстан
No games played over 6 months.
Иран
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
654 picks · 696 bans
Rubick
562 picks · 380 bans
Doom
523 picks · 1065 bans
Ember Spirit
435 picks · 929 bans
Beastmaster
425 picks · 1102 bans
Batrider
414 picks · 1039 bans
Enchantress
402 picks · 670 bans
Void Spirit
393 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Кыргызстан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Кыргызстан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Кыргызстан 66%Иран 34%
The model gave 66% on Кыргызстан — the game was taken by Иран.
Model check result
Model favoriteКыргызстан · 66%
Series resultИран 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1