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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KZ TEAM

Mirana
Mirana
dEsire · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 15 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
dEsire · 14 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
SsaSpartan · 14 games
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Mr. Luck · 13 games
46%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
SkyLark · 13 games
38%
Oracle
Oraclesignature
SsaSpartan · 11 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Mr. Luck · 11 games
45%

Infinity Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 15 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 8 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Kiri · 7 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 7 games
29%
Tiny
Tiny
Kiri · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
440 picks · 211 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 520 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
333 picks · 350 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
307 picks · 529 bans
53%
Morphling
Morphling
298 picks · 578 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
293 picks · 481 bans
46%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
280 picks · 659 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
257 picks · 502 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:42
KZ TEAM 57%Infinity Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:40.
Game 2prediction correct42:38
KZ TEAM 57%Infinity Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 47:32.
Game 3prediction missed22:36
KZ TEAM 57%Infinity Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 42:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 57%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3