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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:1
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
4ikibamboniloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 40 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 36 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 33 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 32 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
ssnovv1 · 28 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 28 games
54%

4ikibamboni

Tusk
Tusksignature
waveformn · 13 games
62%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 11 games
45%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 9 games
33%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
waveformn · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 8 games
63%
Viper
Vipersignature
Ethereal · 8 games
88%
Bane
Bane
ani-san · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Ankou · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
642 picks · 445 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
597 picks · 337 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
457 picks · 533 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
454 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 360 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 392 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 504 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 995 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:30
HULIGANI 67%4ikibamboni 33%
The model gave 67% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 49:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunassnovv1
45% · 128 games48% · 124 games
Muertayowaai
Muerta
Largo
LargoCorrupted
53% · 159 games40% · 125 games
Queen of PainEthereal
Queen of Pain
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMirage
64% · 44 games45% · 106 games
AxeAnkou
Axe
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsayuw
60% · 145 games46% · 162 games
Rubickwaveformn
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
56% · 167 games46% · 126 games
Clockwerkani-san
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct30:6
HULIGANI 65%4ikibamboni 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 31:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCorrupted
41% · 62 games51% · 51 game
Drow Rangeryowaai
Drow Ranger
Spectre
Spectressnovv1
39% · 15 games51% · 167 games
SnapfireEthereal
Snapfire
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
48% · 238 games50% · 111 games
LargoAnkou
Largo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsayuw
52% · 96 games45% · 165 games
Windrangerwaveformn
Windranger
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
61% · 126 games52% · 43 games
Ogre Magiani-san
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction correct37:35
HULIGANI 67%4ikibamboni 33%
The model gave 67% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 51:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerMirage
45% · 141 game57% · 222 games
Doomyowaai
Doom
Terrorblade
Terrorbladessnovv1
42% · 201 game53% · 366 games
Ember SpiritEthereal
Ember Spirit
Axe
AxeCorrupted
40% · 278 games54% · 241 game
UnderlordAnkou
Underlord
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksayuw
50% · 510 games52% · 253 games
Windrangerwaveformn
Windranger
Clockwerk
ClockwerkRESPECT
48% · 236 games60% · 284 games
Baneani-san
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 79%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3