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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Cyber Goosewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
mrls · 20 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 19 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Alberkaaa · 17 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
queezy · 16 games
38%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 15 games
40%
Muerta
Muerta
queezy · 14 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
RESPECT · 13 games
31%

Cyber Goose

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Solo · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
prblms · 7 games
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
TA2000 · 7 games
57%
Windranger
Windranger
prblms · 5 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Noticed · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
521 picks · 602 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
469 picks · 237 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
459 picks · 433 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
371 picks · 770 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 513 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
342 picks · 790 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
330 picks · 298 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
316 picks · 350 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 76%
Hero pool strength56% Cyber Goose
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:7
HULIGANI 51%Cyber Goose 49%
The model gave 51% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerv1olent-
56% · 36 games49% · 130 games
KunkkaTA2000
Kunkka
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMalik
48% · 298 games54% · 43 games
Death ProphetNoticed
Death Prophet
Puck
Puckerase
55% · 204 games48% · 273 games
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
Dragon Knight
Chen
ChenRESPECT
55% · 82 games44% · 360 games
Tuskprblms
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark Willowmrls
51% · 233 games45% · 47 games
OracleSolo
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct11:31
HULIGANI 47%Cyber Goose 53%
The model gave 53% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 33:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddonv1olent-
45% · 112 games52% · 47 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiriterase
48% · 293 games54% · 316 games
BristlebackNoticed
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangolierMalik
48% · 403 games52% · 527 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
Silencer
SilencerRESPECT
47% · 163 games46% · 216 games
RingmasterSolo
Ringmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmrls
58% · 196 games49% · 61 game
Chaos Knightprblms
Chaos Knight
Game 3prediction missed4:25
HULIGANI 52%Cyber Goose 48%
The model gave 52% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 29:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiriterase
50% · 330 games49% · 121 game
TidehunterTA2000
Tidehunter
Sven
Svenv1olent-
52% · 180 games48% · 254 games
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
Dragon Knight
Lycan
LycanMalik
46% · 92 games41% · 327 games
PangolierNoticed
Pangolier
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmrls
58% · 193 games52% · 72 games
SilencerSolo
Silencer
Chen
ChenRESPECT
61% · 117 games45% · 138 games
Ringmasterprblms
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 51%
Series resultCyber Goose 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3