?
arrow_backBack to match
UNIVERSE by FISSURE. Закрытая квалификация · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CyberHerowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 33 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 27 games
41%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 26 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 21 game
76%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Mirage · 17 games
35%
Slardar
Slardar
Corrupted · 17 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sayuw · 16 games
50%

CyberHero

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 2 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Bb3px · 1 game
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Bb3px · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Wein · 1 game
0%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
WoE · 1 game
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Wein · 1 game
0%
Sven
Sven
WoE · 1 game
0%
Warlock
Warlock
Htrd · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
532 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
433 picks · 197 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
392 picks · 173 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 507 bans
57%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
331 picks · 304 bans
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 311 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 514 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
286 picks · 151 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)14% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:43
HULIGANI 64%CyberHero 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by CyberHero in 51:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectressnovv1
51% · 21 game41% · 88 games
UrsaWoE
Ursa
Dark Seer
Dark Seerelmo^^
53% · 106 games48% · 160 games
PangolierAinkrad
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDifference
51% · 424 games42% · 158 games
UnderlordBb3px
Underlord
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorRein
50% · 66 games49% · 137 games
Winter WyvernHtrd
Winter Wyvern
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterqueezy
63% · 65 games49% · 139 games
RubickWein
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct22:31
HULIGANI 63%CyberHero 37%
The model gave 63% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 1:16:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenssnovv1
49% · 52 games52% · 148 games
LunaWoE
Luna
Brewmaster
Brewmasterelmo^^
52% · 130 games49% · 334 games
Storm SpiritAinkrad
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierDifference
47% · 357 games48% · 102 games
EnigmaBb3px
Enigma
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkqueezy
52% · 623 games51% · 381 game
RubickWein
Rubick
Dazzle
DazzleRein
50% · 88 games51% · 285 games
ClockwerkHtrd
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction missed8:33
HULIGANI 64%CyberHero 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by CyberHero in 36:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
53% · 189 games56% · 43 games
MorphlingWoE
Morphling
Enigma
Enigmaelmo^^
52% · 128 games48% · 259 games
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
Centaur Warrunner
Pangolier
PangolierDifference
43% · 467 games55% · 253 games
SlardarAinkrad
Slardar
Rubick
Rubickqueezy
46% · 384 games49% · 146 games
MiranaHtrd
Mirana
Lich
LichRein
50% · 118 games52% · 585 games
HoodwinkWein
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 75%
Series resultCyberHero 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3