Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Dandelionsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 23 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 22 games
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
368 picks · 760 bans
Hoodwink
343 picks · 329 bans
Rubick
337 picks · 235 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 688 bans
Clockwerk
314 picks · 466 bans
Gyrocopter
302 picks · 372 bans
Pangolier
298 picks · 498 bans
Phoenix
284 picks · 604 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total59% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HULIGANI 59%Dandelions 41%
The model gave 59% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 59%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1