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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Five Beaverswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
41%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 19 games
79%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
37%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Panto · 16 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 15 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
re1bl · 14 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 14 games
64%

Five Beavers

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Otaker · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
350 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
349 picks · 337 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
347 picks · 402 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 498 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
298 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
292 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
282 picks · 394 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 454 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:52
HULIGANI 66%Five Beavers 34%
The model gave 66% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Five Beavers in 56:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistv1olent-
55% · 73 games46% · 136 games
Timbersawмистер мораль
Timbersaw
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
44% · 60 games57% · 154 games
WindrangerOtaker
Windranger
Sand King
Sand KingAlberkaaa
50% · 65 games47% · 195 games
Shadow DemonPERDAN4IK
Shadow Demon
Dark Willow
Dark WillowOneJey
51% · 117 games
Enchantress
EnchantressPanto
49% · 170 games
Game 2prediction missed30:42
HULIGANI 68%Five Beavers 32%
The model gave 68% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Five Beavers in 47:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunav1olent-
46% · 75 games51% · 186 games
WindrangerOtaker
Windranger
Kunkka
KunkkaAlberkaaa
50% · 89 games46% · 51 game
Underlordмистер мораль
Underlord
Invoker
InvokerMirage
51% · 45 games54% · 108 games
Naga SirenPERDAN4IK
Naga Siren
Snapfire
SnapfireOneJey
48% · 85 games
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPanto
49% · 51 game
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 82%
Series resultFive Beavers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2