ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Ilbirs eSportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 37 games
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 37 games
Chensignature
RESPECT · 33 games
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 32 games
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 30 games
Snapfire
RESPECT · 29 games
Tusk
slimeyao · 29 games
Warlock
RESPECT · 29 games
Ilbirs eSports
Axe
Askold · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
egx · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
542 picks · 742 bans
Tusk
486 picks · 348 bans
Dragon Knight
464 picks · 637 bans
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 542 bans
Shadow Demon
372 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 551 bans
Mars
345 picks · 463 bans
Hoodwink
343 picks · 152 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:18
HULIGANI 93%Ilbirs eSports 7%
The model gave 93% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 93%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1