Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Level UPwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 44 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 37 games
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 29 games
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 27 games
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 26 games
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 25 games
Level UP
Windranger
chempik · 9 games
Techiessignature
Htrd · 6 games
Centaur Warrunner
Bb3px · 5 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 5 games
Lich
Htrd · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 5 games
Rubick
queezy · 5 games
Snapfireoften banned
queezy · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
624 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
548 picks · 312 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
403 picks · 578 bans
Phoenix
377 picks · 409 bans
Clockwerk
349 picks · 636 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 504 bans
Windranger
339 picks · 235 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total77% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:41
HULIGANI 66%Level UP 34%
The model gave 66% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Level UP in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterCorrupted
AlchemistWoE
Drow Rangerssnovv1
Ember SpiritAinkrad
ViperMirage
AxeBb3px
BaneZayac
TechiesHtrd
UndyingRESPECT
Dark Willowqueezy
Game 2prediction missed23:33
HULIGANI 67%Level UP 33%
The model gave 67% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Level UP in 44:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritMirage
Shadow FiendWoE
Gyrocopterssnovv1
Void SpiritAinkrad
BatriderCorrupted
BeastmasterBb3px
ClockwerkZayac
Hoodwinkqueezy
BaneRESPECT
TechiesHtrd
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 77%
Series resultLevel UP 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2