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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
mrls · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 19 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Alberkaaa · 17 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
queezy · 15 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
RESPECT · 13 games
31%
Muerta
Muerta
queezy · 13 games
54%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 10 games
30%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 7 games
71%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
young G · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 6 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 576 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
492 picks · 444 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
457 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
359 picks · 723 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
323 picks · 741 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 505 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
307 picks · 266 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
HULIGANI 68%Nemiga Gaming 32%
The model gave 68% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 42:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterv1olent-
47% · 347 games50% · 130 games
Templar Assassinbashka
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiriterase
57% · 341 game58% · 287 games
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeMalik
41% · 18 games47% · 204 games
DawnbreakerCovisnine
Dawnbreaker
Undying
UndyingRESPECT
46% · 40 games48% · 234 games
Jakiromonodrama
Jakiro
Batrider
Batridermrls
52% · 303 games45% · 194 games
Shadow Demonxsvampire
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed41:33
HULIGANI 64%Nemiga Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:10:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladev1olent-
49% · 189 games50% · 82 games
Void Spirityoung G
Void Spirit
Timbersaw
TimbersawMalik
46% · 151 game53% · 122 games
Svenbashka
Sven
Puck
Puckerase
52% · 205 games52% · 171 game
Centaur WarrunnerCovisnine
Centaur Warrunner
Muerta
Muertamrls
47% · 212 games54% · 184 games
Ancient Apparitionmonodrama
Ancient Apparition
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
51% · 171 game47% · 369 games
Tuskxsvampire
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 79%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2