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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
29%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Corrupted · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 725 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
407 picks · 576 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 795 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
342 picks · 952 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% Night Pulse
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total55% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:41
HULIGANI 55%Night Pulse 45%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 53:33.
Game 2prediction correct48:28
HULIGANI 55%Night Pulse 45%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 51:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 55%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2