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CCT Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:1
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Passion UAwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 20 games
65%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 19 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 18 games
39%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Panto · 17 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 16 games
50%

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 19 games
37%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 17 games
35%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
36%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 14 games
21%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
489 picks · 670 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
421 picks · 471 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
359 picks · 457 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
358 picks · 538 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
334 picks · 176 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
325 picks · 417 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
323 picks · 654 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
306 picks · 316 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% HULIGANI
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total71% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HULIGANI 71%Passion UA 29%
The model gave 71% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 71%
Series resultPassion UA 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1