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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Retirement Homeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 38 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 38 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 36 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
57%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 32 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 31 game
77%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 30 games
57%

Retirement Home

Bane
Bane
Ceb · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
qojqva · 1 game
100%
Techies
Techies
Pablo · 1 game
100%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Topson · 1 game
100%
Windranger
Windranger
Arteezy · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
609 picks · 393 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
512 picks · 284 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 578 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 385 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
422 picks · 589 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 958 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
337 picks · 281 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 497 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Retirement Home
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:13
HULIGANI 70%Retirement Home 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectressnovv1
44% · 5 games56% · 220 games
Nature's ProphetArteezy
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirage
44% · 265 games51% · 46 games
SniperTopson
Sniper
Batrider
BatriderCorrupted
50% · 204 games54% · 313 games
Centaur Warrunnerqojqva
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksayuw
50% · 296 games48% · 172 games
LionPablo
Lion
Clockwerk
ClockwerkRESPECT
42% · 134 games58% · 153 games
Treant ProtectorCeb
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct26:9
HULIGANI 70%Retirement Home 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 22:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistssnovv1
50% · 90 games46% · 238 games
TinyArteezy
Tiny
Axe
AxeCorrupted
45% · 232 games49% · 196 games
Storm SpiritTopson
Storm Spirit
Invoker
InvokerMirage
53% · 149 games53% · 24 games
Night Stalkerqojqva
Night Stalker
Lich
LichRESPECT
48% · 83 games55% · 68 games
Keeper of the LightCeb
Keeper of the Light
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsayuw
49% · 98 games55% · 126 games
SnapfirePablo
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 83%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2