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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 42 games
48%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 38 games
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 37 games
62%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 30 games
57%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 29 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 27 games
52%

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 55 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 41 game
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 31 game
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kidaro · 30 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
676 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 428 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1134 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 685 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 620 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:10
HULIGANI 69%Rune Eaters 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 36:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 69%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1