Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 23 games
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 20 games
Rubick
OneJey · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 15 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 728 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 285 bans
Rubick
334 picks · 221 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 649 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
312 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
302 picks · 532 bans
Dark Willow
291 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:19
HULIGANI 79%Team Hryvnia 21%
The model gave 79% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 37:45.
Game 2prediction correct38:34
HULIGANI 79%Team Hryvnia 21%
The model gave 79% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 46:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 79%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2