CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 24 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 23 games
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
OneJey · 18 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
420 picks · 309 bans
Hoodwink
415 picks · 438 bans
Weaver
394 picks · 823 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 887 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 712 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 513 bans
Clockwerk
351 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total80% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HULIGANI 80%Team Hryvnia 20%
The model gave 80% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Game 2prediction correct
HULIGANI 80%Team Hryvnia 20%
The model gave 80% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 80%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2