CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 25 games
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 23 games
Windranger
re1bl · 22 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 17 games
Rubick
OneJey · 17 games
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 16 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
401 picks · 626 bans
Gyrocopter
345 picks · 364 bans
Centaur Warrunner
336 picks · 432 bans
Crystal Maiden
334 picks · 125 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 353 bans
Rubick
316 picks · 163 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 421 bans
Pangolier
311 picks · 571 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:27
HULIGANI 65%Team Tea 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Tea in 39:37.
Game 2prediction missed43:16
HULIGANI 65%Team Tea 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Tea in 27:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 65%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2