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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.prowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 3 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 2 games
50%
Arc Warden
Arc Warden
kiyotaka · 1 game
100%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
RodjER · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 1 game
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
RodjER · 1 game
100%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 1 game
100%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 1 game
100%

Virtus.pro

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
79%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
82%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 9 games
78%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
sayuw · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
257 picks · 435 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
231 picks · 362 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
216 picks · 284 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
210 picks · 195 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
207 picks · 99 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
185 picks · 517 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:23
HULIGANI 45%Virtus.pro 55%
The model gave 55% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 45:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
Puckkiyotaka
51% · 142 games49% · 84 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Spectre
SpectreRAMZES666
47% · 96 games45% · 226 games
TinySquad1x
Tiny
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
56% · 306 games50% · 131 game
TimbersawNoticed
Timbersaw
Phoenix
PhoenixRodjER
48% · 187 games52% · 277 games
Nature's Prophetsayuw
Nature's Prophet
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
59% · 108 games42% · 121 game
Crystal MaidenFng
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct7:28
HULIGANI 42%Virtus.pro 58%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 24:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaRAMZES666
52% · 99 games48% · 134 games
TimbersawNoticed
Timbersaw
Void Spirit
Void Spiritkiyotaka
53% · 271 game48% · 102 games
WindrangerKiritych
Windranger
Visage
Visagekasane
52% · 84 games49% · 215 games
PangolierSquad1x
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerImmersion
48% · 121 game55% · 163 games
PugnaFng
Pugna
Phoenix
PhoenixRodjER
45% · 165 games50% · 126 games
Batridersayuw
Batrider
Game 3prediction correct18:34
HULIGANI 46%Virtus.pro 54%
The model gave 54% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 42:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Linakiyotaka
48% · 97 games48% · 83 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
54% · 257 games48% · 114 games
KunkkaSquad1x
Kunkka
Spectre
SpectreRAMZES666
56% · 64 games45% · 114 games
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
50% · 108 games47% · 184 games
Batridersayuw
Batrider
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenRodjER
51% · 142 games53% · 173 games
TechiesFng
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 61%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3