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Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 6 games
50%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 6 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 4 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 4 games
25%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
yamich · 3 games
0%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
RAMZES666 · 3 games
33%

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 5 games
40%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 5 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 4 games
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Xxs · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 4 games
25%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ame · 4 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Dy · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
347 picks · 300 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
328 picks · 509 bans
59%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
312 picks · 293 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
266 picks · 362 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
253 picks · 447 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
244 picks · 365 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
243 picks · 224 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
238 picks · 149 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:23
HULIGANI 21%Xtreme Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaRAMZES666
48% · 119 games44% · 110 games
SvenAme
Sven
Windranger
Windrangerre1bl
59% · 154 games52% · 180 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
55% · 167 games47% · 162 games
PuckXm
Puck
Lion
LionOneJey
51% · 195 games41% · 158 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritaik
49% · 190 games52% · 215 games
BatriderDy
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct7:27
HULIGANI 22%Xtreme Gaming 78%
The model gave 78% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 23:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordRAMZES666
65% · 64 games50% · 109 games
Dragon KnightAme
Dragon Knight
Broodmother
Broodmotherre1bl
48% · 70 games48% · 15 games
Outworld DestroyerXm
Outworld Destroyer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
47% · 138 games46% · 128 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOneJey
46% · 121 game51% · 82 games
MiranaXinQ
Mirana
Enigma
Enigmaaik
45% · 70 games55% · 129 games
Vengeful SpiritDy
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 92%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2