Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Лаосwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Мьянмаloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Лаос
No games played over 6 months.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
752 picks · 622 bans
Disruptor
614 picks · 534 bans
Beastmaster
548 picks · 1329 bans
Doom
543 picks · 1078 bans
Techies
468 picks · 516 bans
Pangolier
466 picks · 964 bans
Ember Spirit
460 picks · 1166 bans
Enchantress
447 picks · 638 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Лаос
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Лаос
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Лаос 63%Мьянма 37%
The model gave 63% on Лаос — the game was taken by Лаос.
Game 2prediction correct
Лаос 63%Мьянма 37%
The model gave 63% on Лаос — the game was taken by Лаос.
Model check result
Model favoriteЛаос · 63%
Series resultЛаос 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2