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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Lavaloss 0:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Mad Kingswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lava

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
payk · 2 games
100%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
payk · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
payk · 1 game
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
payk · 1 game
100%
Wraith King
Wraith King
payk · 1 game
0%

Mad Kings

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Gardick · 12 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
payk · 9 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Yadomi · 8 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
57%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Gardick · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Mad Kings
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total65% Mad Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Lava 35%Mad Kings 65%
The model gave 65% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Mad Kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteMad Kings · 65%
Series resultMad Kings 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1