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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LBZSloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
13%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
17%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
17%

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
25%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
40%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 439 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
481 picks · 698 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
451 picks · 296 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
439 picks · 536 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 610 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 607 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
366 picks · 528 bans
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
346 picks · 768 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 27%
Hero pool strength52% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% LBZS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:26
LBZS 57%Yangon Galacticos 43%
The model gave 57% on LBZS — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 21:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritShanks
45% · 62 games55% · 19 games
Outworld DestroyerYoung PH
Outworld Destroyer
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCatYou
44% · 54 games56% · 97 games
Monkey KingKsh
Monkey King
Game 2prediction missed18:40
LBZS 55%Yangon Galacticos 45%
The model gave 55% on LBZS — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaShanks
45% · 60 games50% · 154 games
Templar AssassinYoung PH
Templar Assassin
Tiny
TinyCatYou
53% · 105 games52% · 11 games
PudgeKsh
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteLBZS · 64%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2