Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
LBZSloss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LBZS
Rubick
Helios · 7 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Fonte · 4 games
Clockwerk
guoguo · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
Lich
guoguo · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Shanks · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
guoguo · 3 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
656 picks · 424 bans
Tusk
570 picks · 540 bans
Tiny
552 picks · 439 bans
Treant Protector
468 picks · 536 bans
Mirana
386 picks · 386 bans
Snapfire
377 picks · 207 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 514 bans
Clockwerk
333 picks · 219 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 88%
Hero pool strength52% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:30
LBZS 18%Ybb Gaming 82%
The model gave 82% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 25:14.
Game 2prediction correct8:25
LBZS 18%Ybb Gaming 82%
The model gave 82% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 23:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 82%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2