BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
LenS Teamloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dyrachyo Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LenS Team
Slardaroften banned
LenS · 3 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
ddeni · 2 games
Clockwerk
ddeni · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
LenS · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
LenS · 2 games
Snapfire
ddeni · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Егор · 1 game
Ancient Apparition
Артур Бабич · 1 game
Dyrachyo Team
Crystal Maiden
sony9sha · 4 games
Tiny
dyrachyo · 4 games
Grimstroke
lowkez · 3 games
Lina
hina · 3 games
Spirit Breaker
Cheatbanned · 3 games
Vengeful Spirit
sony9sha · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Chud0 · 2 games
Axeoften banned
Chud0 · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
772 picks · 356 bans
Disruptor
588 picks · 605 bans
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
457 picks · 534 bans
Tusk
457 picks · 276 bans
Mars
450 picks · 739 bans
Jakiro
448 picks · 279 bans
Puck
431 picks · 1128 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% LenS Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Dyrachyo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:37
LenS Team 41%Dyrachyo Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Dyrachyo Team — the game was taken by Dyrachyo Team in 23:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernautdizzying
Shadow Fiendhina
ZeusLenS
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
Legion CommanderЕгор
Bounty HunterChud0
Spirit Breakerddeni
Iolowkez
SnapfireАртур Бабич
LichCheatbanned
Game 2prediction correct22:31
LenS Team 40%Dyrachyo Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Dyrachyo Team — the game was taken by Dyrachyo Team in 37:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith Kingdizzying
Magnusdyrachyo
UnderlordЕгор
Outworld Destroyerhina
Ember SpiritLenS
EarthshakerChud0
Miranaddeni
Pugnalowkez
GrimstrokeАртур Бабич
LionCheatbanned
Model check result
Model favoriteDyrachyo Team · 70%
Series resultDyrachyo Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2