Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionLGLet's Goloss 0:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Happy Sealswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Let's Go
No games played over 6 months.
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
469 picks · 579 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 684 bans
Mars
424 picks · 609 bans
Kunkka
347 picks · 552 bans
Spirit Breaker
337 picks · 571 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 157 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 370 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Let's Go
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Let's Go
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Let's Go 52%Happy Seals 48%
The model gave 52% on Let's Go — the game was taken by Happy Seals.
Model check result
Model favoriteLet's Go · 52%
Series resultHappy Seals 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1