Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionLGLet's Goloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TSTeam Serpentwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Let's Go
No games played over 6 months.
Team Serpent
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
546 picks · 365 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 572 bans
Mars
441 picks · 590 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 736 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Let's Go
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Let's Go
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:38
Let's Go 50%Team Serpent 50%
The model gave 50% on Let's Go — the game was taken by Team Serpent in 44:44.
Game 2prediction missed16:24
Let's Go 50%Team Serpent 50%
The model gave 50% on Let's Go — the game was taken by Team Serpent in 37:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteLet's Go · 50%
Series resultTeam Serpent 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2