PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLULevel UP MarsBahiswin 2:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dandelionsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP MarsBahis
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
379 picks · 614 bans
Lion
379 picks · 351 bans
Mars
370 picks · 577 bans
Techies
367 picks · 294 bans
Batrider
350 picks · 733 bans
Vengeful Spirit
348 picks · 340 bans
Tiny
335 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
329 picks · 197 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Level UP MarsBahis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:30
Level UP MarsBahis 31%Dandelions 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Level UP MarsBahis in 46:16.
Game 2prediction missed24:12
Level UP MarsBahis 31%Dandelions 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Level UP MarsBahis in 30:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 69%
Series resultLevel UP MarsBahis 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2