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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 1:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
4ikibamboniwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 6 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 4 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Techies
Techies
Htrd · 4 games
100%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 4 games
0%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Norma · 4 games
25%

4ikibamboni

Tusk
Tusk
waveformn · 5 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 4 games
75%
Axe
Axeoften banned
waveformn · 3 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 2 games
50%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 422 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
542 picks · 305 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 588 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 400 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
431 picks · 633 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 1011 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 298 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 536 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 70%
Hero pool strength59% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:18
Level UP 59%4ikibamboni 41%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 34:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreWoE
62% · 11 games53% · 124 games
Shadow Fiendyowaai
Shadow Fiend
Underlord
UnderlordBb3px
48% · 226 games51% · 128 games
Monkey KingEthereal
Monkey King
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAinkrad
45% · 269 games55% · 161 game
AxeAnkou
Axe
Techies
TechiesHtrd
46% · 154 games52% · 475 games
Hoodwinkwaveformn
Hoodwink
Rubick
Rubickqueezy
45% · 331 game58% · 103 games
Baneani-san
Bane
Game 2prediction missed6:27
Level UP 61%4ikibamboni 39%
The model gave 61% on Level UP — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 29:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidWoE
49% · 49 games56% · 53 games
Drow Rangeryowaai
Drow Ranger
Pangolier
PangolierBb3px
50% · 190 games51% · 92 games
ViperEthereal
Viper
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAinkrad
50% · 162 games43% · 179 games
DawnbreakerAnkou
Dawnbreaker
Snapfire
Snapfirequeezy
51% · 150 games51% · 271 game
Rubickwaveformn
Rubick
Lich
LichHtrd
50% · 87 games50% · 43 games
Ogre Magiani-san
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction missed42:21
Level UP 61%4ikibamboni 39%
The model gave 61% on Level UP — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 51:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAinkrad
47% · 84 games62% · 40 games
Drow Rangeryowaai
Drow Ranger
Spectre
SpectreWoE
little data46% · 83 games
ViperEthereal
Viper
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerBb3px
52% · 97 games46% · 107 games
TidehunterAnkou
Tidehunter
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
55% · 168 games43% · 168 games
Rubickwaveformn
Rubick
Lich
LichHtrd
52% · 80 games51% · 31 game
Ogre Magiani-san
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 69%
Series result4ikibamboni 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3