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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ASAKURAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Luna
Luna
Focus · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 8 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 7 games
29%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
MaTson · 7 games
14%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 6 games
50%

ASAKURA

Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 11 games
91%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 9 games
67%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 8 games
75%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 8 games
63%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
young G · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 649 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
497 picks · 798 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
482 picks · 480 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
453 picks · 552 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
425 picks · 363 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
418 picks · 1010 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 763 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
385 picks · 911 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% ASAKURA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Level UP 37%ASAKURA 63%
The model gave 63% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Game 2prediction correct
Level UP 37%ASAKURA 63%
The model gave 63% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 63%
Series resultASAKURA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2