CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushidowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 6 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
Rubick
Jeezy · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
Bushido
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 5 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 4 games
Mirana
jAMES · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 2 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
342 picks · 282 bans
Pangolier
338 picks · 433 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 546 bans
Jakiro
318 picks · 249 bans
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 471 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 407 bans
Clockwerk
287 picks · 241 bans
Sand King
286 picks · 798 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 36%
Hero pool strength58% Bushido
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Level UP 59%Bushido 41%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by Bushido.
Game 2prediction missed
Level UP 59%Bushido 41%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by Bushido.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 59%
Series resultBushido 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2