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RES Regional Champions: Belgrade · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 11 games
27%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 9 games
22%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 9 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 8 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Jeezy · 7 games
29%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
MaTson · 7 games
43%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ififall · 6 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ififall · 6 games
17%

Infinity Esports

Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Kiri · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 8 games
38%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Costabile · 7 games
71%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 7 games
43%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
PiPi · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 298 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 461 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
329 picks · 450 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
321 picks · 210 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 566 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
264 picks · 368 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
258 picks · 321 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:23
Level UP 41%Infinity Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Level UP in 38:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaFocus
49% · 81 game49% · 241 game
LunaNeKo
Luna
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritW1sh-
45% · 115 games57% · 125 games
InvokerPiPi
Invoker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastWuiter
51% · 232 games54% · 232 games
Marskendallx
Mars
Phoenix
PhoenixSsaSpartan
42% · 275 games53% · 227 games
Dark WillowGenek
Dark Willow
Rubick
RubickJeezy
48% · 282 games53% · 160 games
MarciPanda
Marci
Game 2prediction missed25:10
Level UP 39%Infinity Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Level UP in 23:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckW1sh-
49% · 246 games52% · 386 games
LunaNeKo
Luna
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterFocus
55% · 235 games44% · 72 games
Night StalkerPiPi
Night Stalker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerWuiter
54% · 302 games46% · 239 games
Beastmasterkendallx
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSsaSpartan
50% · 221 game46% · 256 games
SnapfireGenek
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJeezy
53% · 313 games51% · 364 games
EnchantressPanda
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 68%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2