DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Linkens Sphere Amplifyloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Dragon Knightoften banned
MaTson · 16 games
Batrideroften banned
Atoufix · 12 games
Primal Beastsignature
MaTson · 11 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 11 games
Ringmaster
Atoufix · 10 games
Tusk
Atoufix · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
MaTson · 9 games
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 9 games
Linkens Sphere Amplify
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
559 picks · 664 bans
Tusk
505 picks · 332 bans
Dragon Knight
485 picks · 662 bans
Centaur Warrunner
445 picks · 529 bans
Snapfire
435 picks · 152 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 198 bans
Mars
380 picks · 515 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Linkens Sphere Amplify
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Level UP 67%Linkens Sphere Amplify 33%
The model gave 67% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 67%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1