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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Power Rangersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
52%
Techies
Techiessignature
Htrd · 19 games
84%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 17 games
59%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 16 games
56%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Htrd · 15 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 13 games
69%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 13 games
77%

Power Rangers

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 36 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 29 games
48%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 29 games
62%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Immersion · 27 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 25 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 24 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 19 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
489 picks · 330 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
350 picks · 463 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 529 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 501 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 652 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
291 picks · 320 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
275 picks · 201 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:14
Level UP 66%Power Rangers 34%
The model gave 66% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 33:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 66%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1