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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PuckChamploss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 4 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Norma · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Largo
Largooften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
67%

PuckChamp

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hyugadoto · 1 game
100%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
onLiTaL · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gbc · 1 game
100%
Techies
Techies
Gothic- · 1 game
100%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
krol9ash · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
625 picks · 412 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
534 picks · 298 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
469 picks · 393 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
429 picks · 616 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 993 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
345 picks · 292 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 522 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength64% PuckChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:15
Level UP 74%PuckChamp 26%
The model gave 74% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 42:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidWoE
64% · 65 games50% · 257 games
Tinygbc
Tiny
Zeus
ZeusAinkrad
51% · 29 games46% · 39 games
LifestealeronLiTaL
Lifestealer
Tidehunter
TidehunterBb3px
47% · 276 games54% · 198 games
Slardarkrol9ash
Slardar
Lich
LichHtrd
49% · 112 games43% · 55 games
GrimstrokeHyugadoto
Grimstroke
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
54% · 265 games45% · 198 games
RubickGothic-
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct34:43
Level UP 73%PuckChamp 27%
The model gave 73% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 50:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreWoE
64% · 10 games55% · 120 games
Shadow FiendonLiTaL
Shadow Fiend
Underlord
UnderlordBb3px
45% · 241 game42% · 39 games
Earthshakergbc
Earthshaker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAinkrad
49% · 253 games51% · 142 games
Dawnbreakerkrol9ash
Dawnbreaker
Rubick
Rubickqueezy
47% · 300 games53% · 466 games
HoodwinkGothic-
Hoodwink
Techies
TechiesHtrd
51% · 124 games53% · 161 game
RingmasterHyugadoto
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 88%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2