?
arrow_backBack to match
EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PuckChamploss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 12 games
50%
Techies
Techiessignature
Htrd · 11 games
82%
Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 11 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 10 games
70%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 8 games
63%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Htrd · 7 games
57%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
WoE · 6 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Bb3px · 6 games
33%

PuckChamp

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
gotthejuice · 7 games
14%
Techies
Techiessignature
Gothic- · 6 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
krol9ash · 5 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 5 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
75%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Hyugadoto · 4 games
25%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
krol9ash · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Yuragi · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
495 picks · 356 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 227 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 643 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
337 picks · 344 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
314 picks · 230 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
301 picks · 291 bans
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 394 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 419 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 38%
Hero pool strength57% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:5
Level UP 70%PuckChamp 30%
The model gave 70% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 22:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWoE
51% · 266 games52% · 120 games
Lycankrol9ash
Lycan
Pangolier
PangolierAinkrad
46% · 320 games55% · 483 games
TinyYuragi
Tiny
Tidehunter
TidehunterBb3px
51% · 186 games55% · 27 games
Tinkergbc
Tinker
Enchantress
EnchantressHtrd
40% · 155 games51% · 380 games
SnapfireGothic-
Snapfire
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
52% · 221 game50% · 138 games
GrimstrokeHyugadoto
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct41:32
Level UP 70%PuckChamp 30%
The model gave 70% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 50:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
57% · 397 games52% · 153 games
Nature's ProphetYuragi
Nature's Prophet
Lina
LinaWoE
44% · 32 games52% · 253 games
Beastmasterkrol9ash
Beastmaster
Slardar
SlardarAinkrad
50% · 385 games51% · 260 games
Pangoliergbc
Pangolier
Undying
UndyingHtrd
43% · 128 games47% · 75 games
TechiesGothic-
Techies
Dark Willow
Dark Willowqueezy
48% · 168 games52% · 369 games
JakiroHyugadoto
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 85%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2