Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Kleeloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 16 games
Primal Beastsignature
OwnedMe · 12 games
Silencer
MiLAN · 12 games
Svenoften banned
Daxak · 12 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Lorenof · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
swedenstrong · 11 games
Queen of Painsignature
Lorenof · 11 games
Brewmastersignature
OwnedMe · 10 games
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
275 picks · 374 bans
Dark Willow
243 picks · 111 bans
Treant Protector
217 picks · 487 bans
Muerta
213 picks · 318 bans
Phoenix
207 picks · 304 bans
Nature's Prophet
194 picks · 408 bans
Kunkka
186 picks · 468 bans
Pangolier
186 picks · 351 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:20
Level UP 45%Team Klee 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Level UP in 42:35.
Game 2prediction correct18:37
Level UP 45%Team Klee 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 41:33.
Game 3prediction missed34:31
Level UP 45%Team Klee 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Level UP in 48:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 55%
Series resultLevel UP 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3