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European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
LFGwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Türkiyeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LFG

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Astral · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
flacko · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Astral · 2 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nizam` · 2 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Astral · 1 game
100%

Team Türkiye

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 15 games
53%
Lich
Lich
Stoic · 13 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 9 games
78%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
G.T.I · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
479 picks · 416 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
433 picks · 574 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
432 picks · 228 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 539 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 735 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
418 picks · 498 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 588 bans
45%
Tiny
Tiny
358 picks · 414 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team Türkiye
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
LFG 38%Team Türkiye 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Türkiye — the game was taken by LFG.
Game 2prediction missed
LFG 38%Team Türkiye 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Türkiye — the game was taken by LFG.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Türkiye · 62%
Series resultLFG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2