Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
98%2%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Balu Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 5 games
Bane
KJ · 4 games
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 4 games
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 4 games
Windranger
Thiolicor · 4 games
Axe
Wisper · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 3 games
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
574 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
464 picks · 245 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 887 bans
Beastmaster
323 picks · 820 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 45%
Hero pool strength58% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:4
LGD Gaming 98%Balu Team 2%
The model gave 98% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 22:49.
Game 2prediction correct47:9
LGD Gaming 98%Balu Team 2%
The model gave 98% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 23:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 98%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2