BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Lionsignature
Pyw · 12 games
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
Muertasignature
shiro · 8 games
Weaversignature
shiro · 8 games
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
Lunasignature
shiro · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 7 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 15 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 569 bans
Lion
333 picks · 287 bans
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 465 bans
Pangolier
292 picks · 415 bans
Magnus
290 picks · 472 bans
Grimstroke
286 picks · 460 bans
Nature's Prophet
283 picks · 788 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:22
LGD Gaming 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lunashiro
Dragon KnightMieRo
PangolierSetsu
InvokergpK~
Omniknightniu
SlarkNightfall
BatriderPyw
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
Vengeful Spirity`
LionSave-
Game 2prediction correct6:24
LGD Gaming 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muertashiro
SvenNightfall
Ember SpiritSetsu
Dragon KnightgpK~
Primal Beastniu
BrewmasterMieRo
HoodwinkPyw
Shadow DemonSave-
Nature's Prophety`
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2