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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lindorfitosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 12 games
67%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 10 games
60%
Kez
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 8 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 7 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 7 games
71%
Axe
Axesignature
Wisper · 6 games
67%

Lindorfitos

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
StingeR · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Kez
Kezoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Lich
Lich
StingeR · 1 game
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Rubick
Rubick
StingeR · 1 game
100%
Tiny
Tiny
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
565 picks · 314 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 585 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 389 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
436 picks · 654 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 528 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
349 picks · 1026 bans
58%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 299 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:8
LGD Gaming 81%Lindorfitos 19%
The model gave 81% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawTaiLung
39% · 49 games58% · 31 game
NecrophosDaaD-
Necrophos
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
46% · 20 games61% · 146 games
Treant ProtectorStingeR
Treant Protector
Snapfire
SnapfireWisper
33% · 28 games
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanThiolicor
47% · 34 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
40% · 46 games
Game 2prediction correct40:13
LGD Gaming 82%Lindorfitos 18%
The model gave 82% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 29:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTaiLung
41% · 96 games44% · 167 games
KezDaaD-
Kez
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
53% · 36 games58% · 143 games
Treant ProtectorStingeR
Treant Protector
Pangolier
PangolierWisper
48% · 83 games
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
47% · 47 games
Bane
BaneKJ
54% · 48 games
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 96%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2