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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 16 games
69%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 11 games
82%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Kez
Kezsignature
TaiLung · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 8 games
88%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 14 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 13 games
62%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 12 games
25%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
615 picks · 438 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
556 picks · 321 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 373 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
387 picks · 437 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 493 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
330 picks · 375 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
327 picks · 626 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 42%
Hero pool strength63% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:10
LGD Gaming 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 41:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzYuma
57% · 67 games62% · 38 games
Lone DruidNatsumi
Lone Druid
Huskar
HuskarTaiLung
51% · 61 game50% · 51 game
SniperYopaj
Sniper
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
46% · 25 games51% · 141 game
BeastmasterRaven
Beastmaster
Techies
TechiesThiolicor
41% · 60 games55% · 84 games
Keeper of the LightTims
Keeper of the Light
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
42% · 123 games47% · 22 games
OmniknightSkem
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct27:19
LGD Gaming 65%OG 35%
The model gave 65% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 36:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosYuma
53% · 50 games51% · 247 games
Shadow FiendNatsumi
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
TinyTaiLung
46% · 530 games49% · 133 games
LargoRaven
Largo
Pudge
PudgeWisper
46% · 104 games48% · 328 games
PuckYopaj
Puck
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
56% · 182 games49% · 19 games
OmniknightSkem
Omniknight
Bane
BaneKJ
57% · 253 games45% · 392 games
HoodwinkTims
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 77%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2