Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Pipsqueak+4loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 6 games
Axe
Wisper · 5 games
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 5 games
Bane
KJ · 4 games
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 4 games
Windranger
Thiolicor · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
Largooften banned
TaiLung · 3 games
Pipsqueak+4
Hoodwink
Ekki · 27 games
Jakiro
aik · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Palantimos · 27 games
Tusk
Ekki · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Warlock
aik · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
577 picks · 355 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
468 picks · 248 bans
Tiny
439 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
392 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 893 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 827 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 459 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 44%
Hero pool strength58% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LGD Gaming 91%Pipsqueak+4 9%
The model gave 91% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct55:46
LGD Gaming 78%Pipsqueak+4 22%
The model gave 78% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:03:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerYuma
ZeusCopy
DoomWisper
TinyDarkLord^
SniperTaiLung
AxeMalik
HoodwinkThiolicor
Batrideraik
ClockwerkKJ
HuskarEkki
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 91%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2