ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quincy Crewloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
Tusksignature
XinQ · 16 games
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 11 games
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
438 picks · 994 bans
Void Spirit
412 picks · 605 bans
Mars
361 picks · 642 bans
Death Prophet
328 picks · 629 bans
Earth Spirit
324 picks · 277 bans
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
Phoenix
258 picks · 370 bans
Wraith King
258 picks · 427 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 58%
Hero pool strength62% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:12
LGD Gaming 60%Quincy Crew 40%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:13.
Game 2prediction correct21:5
LGD Gaming 60%Quincy Crew 40%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 18:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 60%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2