BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 1:0series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Bane
KJ · 2 games
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 2 games
Snapfire
Wisper · 2 games
Axe
Wisper · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
TaiLung · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 1 game
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 1 game
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 39 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
Tusk
rue · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
551 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 510 bans
Puck
321 picks · 848 bans
Beastmaster
313 picks · 798 bans
Jakiro
311 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:18
LGD Gaming 39%Team Spirit 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 30:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezTaiLung
JuggernautYatoro
Vengeful SpiritYuma
DoomCollapse
BatriderWisper
BeastmasterLarl
WindrangerThiolicor
Hoodwinknot me
Treant ProtectorKJ
Techiesrue
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 71%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1