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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Yandexwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 29 games
66%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 22 games
55%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 18 games
61%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 14 games
57%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 13 games
69%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
83%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 20 games
60%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 18 games
61%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
514 picks · 359 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
362 picks · 439 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 602 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 487 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
318 picks · 627 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
308 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
305 picks · 216 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
300 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total64% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:11
LGD Gaming 43%Team Yandex 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYuma
48% · 45 games46% · 150 games
KezWatson
Kez
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightTopson
51% · 109 games44% · 166 games
UnderlordDM
Underlord
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
61% · 43 games51% · 114 games
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
Earth Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerKJ
48% · 259 games54% · 78 games
LionSaksa
Lion
Mirana
MiranaThiolicor
53% · 94 games45% · 42 games
Witch DoctorMalady
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct17:30
LGD Gaming 43%Team Yandex 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 38:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaTopson
52% · 38 games60% · 15 games
IoWatson
Io
Magnus
MagnusWisper
51% · 37 games52% · 155 games
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
Dragon Knight
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritYuma
47% · 20 games49% · 93 games
DoomDM
Doom
Mirana
MiranaThiolicor
52% · 58 games48% · 118 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerKJ
46% · 253 games54% · 25 games
Bounty HunterSaksa
Bounty Hunter
Game 3prediction correct26:40
LGD Gaming 40%Team Yandex 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:08:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosYuma
47% · 72 games61% · 87 games
LinaWatson
Lina
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightTopson
53% · 150 games51% · 316 games
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
Snapfire
Windranger
WindrangerWisper
44% · 147 games54% · 84 games
Dark SeerDM
Dark Seer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowThiolicor
40% · 150 games55% · 49 games
Bounty HunterSaksa
Bounty Hunter
Undying
UndyingKJ
44% · 138 games54% · 121 game
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 64%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3