?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 32 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KJ · 22 games
55%
Bane
Baneoften banned
KJ · 21 game
57%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 19 games
53%
Windranger
Windranger
Thiolicor · 18 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Thiolicor · 16 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wisper · 15 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 15 games
60%

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 30 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
fy · 22 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangolier
NothingToSay · 18 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 16 games
69%
Doom
Doomsignature
zeal · 15 games
73%
Lich
Lichsignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Mirana
Miranasignature
XinQ · 14 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 14 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
519 picks · 307 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
422 picks · 180 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
383 picks · 174 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 502 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
325 picks · 293 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 311 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 504 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 151 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total61% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:9
LGD Gaming 57%Xtreme Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 42:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosWits
57% · 143 games41% · 159 games
TerrorbladeAme
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomDavai
53% · 267 games47% · 234 games
Axezeal
Axe
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSumaiL
47% · 376 games51% · 167 games
Earth SpiritMoon
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowThiolicor
55% · 365 games48% · 176 games
MiranaXinQ
Mirana
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
50% · 185 games51% · 600 games
HoodwinkBoBoKa
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed7:36
LGD Gaming 58%Xtreme Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosSumaiL
56% · 54 games47% · 178 games
Nature's ProphetAme
Nature's Prophet
Clinkz
ClinkzWits
50% · 53 games49% · 126 games
Viperzeal
Viper
Doom
DoomDavai
46% · 113 games47% · 176 games
Earth SpiritMoon
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
53% · 320 games50% · 62 games
EarthshakerXinQ
Earthshaker
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSneyking
53% · 103 games50% · 101 game
DazzleBoBoKa
Dazzle
Game 3prediction correct26:30
LGD Gaming 56%Xtreme Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 47:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerWits
60% · 33 games50% · 233 games
Nature's ProphetAme
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSumaiL
49% · 484 games49% · 281 game
Doomzeal
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
52% · 437 games54% · 570 games
Ember SpiritMoon
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
49% · 619 games52% · 109 games
GrimstrokeXinQ
Grimstroke
Dazzle
DazzleSneyking
47% · 157 games44% · 537 games
JakiroBoBoKa
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 61%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3