LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 12 games
Timbersawsignature
woMy · 10 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
Mirana
Lym- · 7 games
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
MamangDaya · 6 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 5 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
427 picks · 172 bans
Mars
320 picks · 525 bans
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 470 bans
Snapfire
303 picks · 167 bans
Nyx Assassin
301 picks · 628 bans
Puck
301 picks · 764 bans
Enchantress
280 picks · 363 bans
Tiny
276 picks · 222 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Lilgun
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 57%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictioncorrect