BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
BOOM Esports
Marssignature
Fbz · 22 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 14 games
Rubick
Tims · 14 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
668 picks · 525 bans
Marci
473 picks · 719 bans
Dawnbreaker
468 picks · 619 bans
Puck
449 picks · 920 bans
Winter Wyvern
352 picks · 420 bans
Zeus
304 picks · 395 bans
Razor
283 picks · 515 bans
Death Prophet
274 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:36
Lilgun 10%BOOM Esports 90%
The model gave 90% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 26:54.
Game 2prediction correct12:50
Lilgun 10%BOOM Esports 90%
The model gave 90% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 90%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2