BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PPPurple Paradoxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Purple Paradox
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
365 picks · 573 bans
Tiny
332 picks · 222 bans
Undying
332 picks · 572 bans
Pangolier
243 picks · 331 bans
Primal Beast
239 picks · 456 bans
Enigma
236 picks · 749 bans
Death Prophet
209 picks · 311 bans
Tusk
208 picks · 101 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 60%
Hero pool strength61% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Purple Paradox
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:35
Lilgun 30%Purple Paradox 70%
The model gave 70% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 31:38.
Game 2prediction correct41:25
Lilgun 30%Purple Paradox 70%
The model gave 70% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 50:31.
Model check result
Model favoritePurple Paradox · 70%
Accuracy by game2 of 2