BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TOTeam Orcaloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
551 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
463 picks · 560 bans
Mars
449 picks · 633 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 822 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 181 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 568 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 537 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:11
Lilgun 55%Team Orca 45%
The model gave 55% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Team Orca in 34:08.
Game 2prediction missed28:14
Lilgun 55%Team Orca 45%
The model gave 55% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Team Orca in 25:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 55%
Accuracy by game0 of 2